The Trading Report 07/13/2025

Enjoy!

ES and NQ Analysis

🟩 ES1! — S&P 500 E-mini Futures (Daily)

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🧠 Context

• Price has broken decisively above prior range highs and continues to trend strongly.

• Consecutive bullish candles signal strong momentum.

• Multiple untested fair value gaps (FVGs) remain below — marking key institutional footprints and potential demand zones.

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🔴 Resistance Behavior

• No clear supply overhead — price is effectively in price discovery mode.

• However, the rally has begun to stretch from its moving average stack — risk of short-term exhaustion is rising.

• Watch for pause, digestion, or failed breakout patterns.

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🟢 Demand Structure

• First visible FVG support sits near 6,270, followed by stacked gaps into 6,070–6,000 and 5,770.

• These FVGs coincide with dynamic support (short and medium-term MAs).

• Ideal zones for reactive long setups if price pulls back.

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🎯 Trade Scenarios

• Bullish Case: Price bases above 6,300, then expands higher with volume. Pullbacks into the 6,270–6,070 range would offer ideal entries aligned with trend.

• Bearish Case: Failure to hold above 6,300 leads to a flush toward 6,070 FVG — a break below would open up the lower stacked zones near 5,770 and beyond.

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🟦 NQ1! — NASDAQ-100 E-mini Futures (Daily)

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🧠 Context

• Price remains in strong uptrend, maintaining elevation above key moving averages.

• Multiple fair value gaps below reveal signs of institutional accumulation throughout the rally.

• Momentum is intact, but recent candles suggest slowing pace after a parabolic stretch.

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🔴 Resistance Behavior

• Price is pushing into new high territory with no immediate supply overhead.

• However, recent candles are smaller-bodied and suggest indecision — short-term exhaustion is a risk.

• A pullback or pause would be healthy and expected here.

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🟢 Demand Structure

• Nearest FVG sits around 22,600–22,420, with additional supports at 21,460 and 20,680.

• These zones coincide with short-term moving averages and prior breakout levels.

• Expect dip-buyers to engage at or near these levels if tested.

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🎯 Trade Scenarios

• Bullish Case: Continuation higher if price flags or consolidates just under ATHs. Pullbacks into 22,600 area could provide ideal long entries.

• Bearish Case: A sharp rejection from current highs could open room for rotation into 21,460 or even 20,680 — still within bullish structure but would test buyers’ conviction.

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REVIEW FROM LAST FL AND CURRENT HOLDINGS: